Abstract
In the context of Multiple Classifier Systems, diversity among base classifiers is known to be a necessary condition for improvement in ensemble performance. In this paper the ability of several pair-wise diversity measures to predict generalisation error is compared. A new pair-wise measure, which is computed between pairs of patterns rather than pairs of classifiers, is also proposed for two-class problems. It is shown experimentally that the proposed measure is well correlated with base classifier test error as base classifier complexity is systematically varied. However, correlation with unity-weighted sum and vote is shown to be weaker, demonstrating the difficulty in choosing base classifier complexity for optimal fusion. An alternative strategy based on weighted combination is also investigated and shown to be less sensitive to number of training epochs.