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Impacts of Assimilating FY-4A AGRI Clear-Sky Water Vapor Radiance on Short-Range Weather Prediction during Indian Summer Monsoon
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Impacts of Assimilating FY-4A AGRI Clear-Sky Water Vapor Radiance on Short-Range Weather Prediction during Indian Summer Monsoon

Zeyi Niu, Prashant Kumar and Liwen Wang
International journal of remote sensing, Vol.44(12), pp.3679-3699
18/06/2023

Abstract

AGRI Assimilation, WRF model Water vapour WRF model
This study aims to assess the impacts of assimilating the clear-sky radiances from the Advanced Geosynchronous Radiation Imager (AGRI) onboard the Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) satellite on 72-h forecasts. First, we compare the water vapour (WV) brightness temperature (T B ) in July 2018 from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS) analyses and Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) forecasts with the clear-sky AGRI WV channel observations. The results suggest that the NCEP GDAS analyses are more consistent with the AGRI observations than the WRF forecasts, and the AGRI observations can be utilized to improve the initial conditions of the WRF model by data assimilation, especially in water vapour and surface temperature. After the preliminary verification, two identical cycling assimilation experiments are performed with and without the AGRI WV T B assimilation for a month. The results reveal that the WRF forecasts with AGRI T B assimilation are closer to satellite observations than the first guess in both WV channels. The validation with WV channel data of the Microwave Humidity Sounder (MHS) and SAPHIR sensors indicates that after the AGRI data assimilation, the errors are smaller than in the control experiment (without AGRI assimilation). The assimilation of the T B observed by AGRI WV channels shows a remarkable positive impact on moisture forecasts at middle and upper levels. Comparison of the T B from the WRF forecasts with the MHS observations suggests that the AGRI WV channel assimilation can improve the predictions. Overall, assimilating AGRI WV observations can positively influence the WRF analyses and forecasts.

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