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Google Trends can improve surveillance of Type 2 diabetes
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Google Trends can improve surveillance of Type 2 diabetes

Nataliya Tkachenko, Sarunkorn Chotvijit, Neha Gupta, Emma Bradley, Charlotte Gilks, Weisi Guo, Henry Crosby, Eliot Shore, Malkiat Thiarai, Rob Procter, …
Scientific reports, Vol.7(1), pp.4993-10
10/07/2017
PMID: 28694479

Abstract

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - diagnosis Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 - epidemiology Early Diagnosis Humans Information Seeking Behavior Internet - statistics & numerical data Population Surveillance - methods Search Engine - methods
Recent studies demonstrate that people are increasingly looking online to assess their health, with reasons varying from personal preferences and beliefs to inability to book a timely appointment with their local medical practice. Records of these activities represent a new source of data about the health of populations, but which is currently unaccounted for by disease surveillance models. This could potentially be useful as evidence of individuals' perception of bodily changes and self-diagnosis of early symptoms of an emerging disease. We make use of the Experian geodemographic Mosaic dataset in order to extract Type 2 diabetes candidate risk variables and compare their temporal relationships with the search keywords, used to describe early symptoms of the disease on Google. Our results demonstrate that Google Trends can detect early signs of diabetes by monitoring combinations of keywords, associated with searches for hypertension treatment and poor living conditions; Combined search semantics, related to obesity, how to quit smoking and improve living conditions (deprivation) can be also employed, however, may lead to less accurate results.
url
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05091-9View
Published (Version of record) Open

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