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How forward-looking is the Fed? Direct estimates from a 'Calvo-type' rule
Journal article   Open access  Peer reviewed

How forward-looking is the Fed? Direct estimates from a 'Calvo-type' rule

VJ Gabriel, P Levine and C Spencer
Economics Letters, Vol.104(2), pp.92-95
2009

Abstract

We estimate an alternative type of monetary policy rule according to which the central bank targets a discounted infinite sum of expected inflation and output gaps. Empirical results suggest that the Fed has a mean forward horizon of 4 to 8 quarters.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2009.04.018View
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