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Extreme returns and the investor's expectation for future volatility: Evidence from the Finnish stock market
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Extreme returns and the investor's expectation for future volatility: Evidence from the Finnish stock market

Syed Riaz Mahmood Ali, Shaker Ahmed and Ralf Ostermark
The Quarterly review of economics and finance, Vol.76, pp.260-269
01/05/2020

Abstract

Business & Economics Economics Social Sciences
We examine the significance of extreme positive returns of the previous month (MAX) as a return predictor in the Finnish stock market. We show that high fear months, i.e., months associated with the investor's high expectation for future volatility, are accompanying with low MAX effect implying that investors reluctant to gamble in high MAX stocks when they have high expectation for future volatility. (C) 2019 Board of Trustees of the University of Illinois. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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