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Estimating Crime in Place: Moving Beyond Residence Location
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Estimating Crime in Place: Moving Beyond Residence Location

Alexandru Alexandru, David Buil-Gil, Ian Brunton-Smith, Jose Pina-Sanchez and Marta Murrià-Sangenís
Crime & Delinquency, Vol.68(11), pp.2061-2091
30/12/2021

Abstract

Measurement error Reporting Crime mapping Police data Crime surveys Barcelona
We assess if asking victims about the places where crimes happen leads to estimates of ‘crime in place’ with better measurement properties. We analyse data from the Barcelona Victimization Survey (2015 to 2020) aggregated in 73 neighbourhoods using longitudinal quasi-simplex models and criterion validity to estimate the quality of four types of survey-based measures of crime. The distribution of survey-based offence location estimates, as opposed to victim residence estimates, is highly similar to police-recorded crime statistics, and there is little trade off in terms of the reliability and validity of offence location and victim residence measures. Estimates of crimes reported to the police show a better validity, but their reliability is lower and capture fewer crimes.
url
https://doi.org/10.1177%2F00111287211064779View
Published (Version of record) Open CC BY V4.0

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